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DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS AND COMPARISON WITH THE POPULATION OF BANGLADESH AND PAKISTAN

RASHEDUL ISLAM 1, KANAK CHANDRA ROY 2, NASIR UDDIN 3, REZAUL KARIM 4, SHUVO SARKER 5, and PINAKEE DEY 6.

Vol 18, No 08 ( 2023 )   |  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8241173   |   Author Affiliation: Department of Mathematics, Mawlana Bhashani Science and Technology University,Tangail, Bangladesh 1,3,4,5,6; Department of Applied Mathematics, Gono Bishwabidyalay, Savar, Dhaka, Bangladesh 2.   |   Licensing: CC 4.0   |   Pg no: 53-72   |   Published on: 04-08-2023

Abstract

Compared to many other nations, Bangladesh has a higher population density. Although population growth is seen as frightening, knowing how it will change in the coming years can help with planning for the nation's future. This article is based on estimates of the country's and Pakistan's future population increase and a comparison of the populations of the two nations. In our calculations, the population of Bangladesh will be close to 211 million, whereas that of Pakistan would be close to 356 million in 2060. Population increase is the largest problem the world has to face since it directly impacts the most basic human being and how society and the state will adapt to it. Additionally, we calculated the prediction for the near future and included a demographic assessment of both countries' rural populations and crime rates in this article. This study compares the precision and closeness of three mathematical models, including the Malthusian or exponential growth model, the logistic growth model, and the least squares model, to forecast population growth in Bangladesh and Pakistan by the end of the twenty-first century. The correct numbers for transgender people are not yet accessible, despite the fact that they are acknowledged as the third sex. Additionally, the paper offers a hypothetical comparison of how the state has responded to its expanding population in the past and how it will respond in the future.


Keywords

Population Model, Mean Absolute Percentage Error, Crime Report and Rural People.