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Original Research

ANALYSIS OF THE INTEGRATION OF THE INDONESIAN COFFEE MARKET WITH THE UNITED STATES

YANUAR FITRI 1, SAIDIN NAINGGOLAN 2, EMY KERNALIS 3, and SHARA SILITONGA 4.

Vol 18, No 02 ( 2023 )   |  DOI: 10.17605/OSF.IO/NM54Y   |   Author Affiliation: Department of Agribusiness Faculty of Agriculture, Jambi University 1,2,3,4.   |   Licensing: CC 4.0   |   Pg no: 2082-2091   |   Published on: 28-02-2023

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the development of prices and integration of the Indonesian coffee price market and the price of United States coffee. The analysis model is used to look at the integration of Indonesian coffee price integration with the United States by using the Johansen Cointegration Test, Error Correction Model, and price transmission. The results of the analysis showed that (1) thedevelopment of coffee prices in Indonesia since 1980-2018 fluctuated with a variation coefficient of 16.78% and coffee prices in the United States market fluctuated with a variation coefficient of 17.05%. The change in coffee prices in Indonesia is linear with changes in coffee prices in the United States market. This means that if there is an increase and decrease in coffee prices in the United States will result in an increase and decrease in the price of coffee in Indonesia (2) the elasticity of coffee price transmission in Indonesia with the price of coffee in the United States in the long term is elastic. With a relatively strong cointegration (stability of price variables in the long run).


Keywords

Coffee Price, Integration, Cointegration, Transmission